Conservative linked to Katz donation named chairman of the Alberta Economic Development Authority

Long-time party fundraiser Barry Heck points out the position is unpaid
 By Karen Kleiss, Edmonton Journal January 31, 2013

EDMONTON – Premier Alison Redford has given a provincial political appointment to a veteran Conservative insider who allegedly brokered a $430,000 donation from Oilers owner and billionaire Daryl Katz.

Media reports quoting unnamed sources suggested Wednesday that Calgary businessman Barry Heck is the party fundraiser who persuaded Katz to make the donation now under investigation by Alberta’s Chief Electoral Officer.

Redford has named Heck chairman of the Alberta Economic Development Authority.

Heck has declined to comment on the allegations, citing the ongoing investigation.

“I’m not saying I did or I didn’t … I’m neither confirming nor denying,” Heck said in an interview Wednesday. “I’ve got nothing to say on it.

“I’m not involved in the investigation, that’s between the party and the chief electoral officer. I haven’t been asked to give a statement by the investigators.”

Heck said he has known Katz since the two attended law school at the University of Alberta three decades ago, and added he has long worked to raise money for the governing Tories.

“I have nothing to hide,” Heck said. “I make no secret of the fact that I’ve been a volunteer for the PC party for 30 years, going back to Premier (Ralph) Klein and before that.

“I’ve been financially supportive of various candidates and constituencies in the PC party for many years. It was well known I was involved in the premier’s leadership campaign.”

Heck also confirmed he made a $5,000 contribution to Redford’s leadership bid in 2011, and said he has worked “door knocking, delivering flyers and picking up pizza” in her Calgary-Elbow riding for years.

He took umbrage at suggestions he had somehow received a “plumb post” in exchange for his volunteer efforts, noting the position is unpaid.

“I’ve been asked to serve and to try, to the extent I can, to help our province,” Heck said. “That’s what this is about for me.”

Redford announced Heck’s appointment in a lunch hour speech to the Canada Club at the Fairmont Royal York Hotel on Wednesday. She said the allegations against him are unfounded.

“Barry Heck has been a volunteer in our party for many years. He was someone who decided he wanted to help our party raise money. That’s what we do in a campaign,” Redford said.

“We have right now in Alberta the chief electoral officer who’s taking a look at this. We’re going to leave that there. I’m entirely confident with respect to everyone’s conduct. I’m not going to stop the business of government because of unfounded allegations that people are making for political purposes.”

During the fall sitting of the legislature, the Globe and Mail published a story quoting an unnamed source who said Katz wrote a single $430,000 cheque to Progressive Conservative Party during the spring provincial election.

Alberta election laws prohibit an individual from giving more than $30,000 to a single party during an election campaign.

The source alleged the single cheque was split into smaller amounts that were attributed to people affiliated with Katz, in an alleged effort to skirt the election laws.

Chief Electoral Officer Brian Fjeldheim launched an investigation into the allegations and hired retired Court of Queen’s Bench Justice Ernest Marshall to oversee it.

Fjeldheim has not said when the investigation will conclude.

With files from the Calgary Herald

[email protected]

twitter.com/ablegreporter

© Copyright (c) The Edmonton Journal

Alberta PC party wants electoral officer to reverse orders to repay illegal donations – Conservatives say individual donors should pay for their mistakes

 By Sarah O’Donnell, Edmonton Journal January 30, 2013

EDMONTON – Alberta’s Progressive Conservative party has asked the province’s chief electoral officer to reverse orders mandating that the party repay thousands of dollars in illegal donations tied to post-secondary institutions and local governments.

Progressive Conservative Association of Alberta president Jim McCormick said Wednesday that the party returned $6,900 to prohibited donors where ordered by Elections Alberta in cases dating back the last three years.

But the party feels it is unfair for the political organization to pay for mistakes by individual donors who later went back to prohibited organizations and asked to be reimbursed. Under Alberta’s campaign finance laws, political parties are prohibited from knowingly receiving money via organizations funded by taxpayers such as school boards or town councils.

“We acknowledge the spirit of the act where we do not want to be the beneficiary of public dollars back as donations, period,” McCormick said.

“However, we accepted this money from individuals primarily in good faith as donations directly from them. We think the onus should fall more on those individuals rather than either the prohibited corporations or ourselves.”

McCormick spoke to the Journal one day in advance of Elections Alberta posting the results of three years’ worth of investigations into breaches of the province’s Election Finances and Contributions Disclosure Act. The information will be posted on Elections Alberta’s website.

Up until MLAs approved a new version of the act in the fall sitting of the legislature, Elections Alberta said it was prohibited from publicly releasing the results of its investigations, including identifying groups or parties sanctioned or censured by the office.

Those disclosures will only go back as far as Dec. 10, 2009, however, since the new Elections Act imposes a three-year limit on how far back the information can go.

The issue of illegal donations has dogged the PC party for more than a year as documents came to light showing that organizations like municipalities, school boards and universities contributed to the party over the years, often through tickets for fundraising events like golf tournaments or dinners.

In 2012, former party president Bill Smith apologized after the party returned $850 to Calgary Laboratory Services, a branch of Alberta Health Services. Smith said the PCs thought it was still a private company.

Smith also said last spring that the party repaid about $9,200 voluntarily to about a dozen different local governments and educational institutions in the spring. Those included donations from Medicine Hat, the County of Grande Prairie No. 1, the towns of Fahler, Okotoks, High River and Redcliff and Athabasca University.

Although the party voluntarily returned money in the spring, McCormick said the organization now feels it must stand up for a principle. In two cases where the party was advised by Elections Alberta to voluntarily return the money, it has not, he said. Both cases involve an $850 donation.

McCormick said Wednesday that in all the cases to be documented Thursday, with the exception of the Calgary lab, the party issued a tax receipt to an individual who later went back to a prohibited corporation to be reimbursed without the PCs knowing.

In a letter to Chief Electoral Officer Brian Fjeldheim dated Jan. 21, McCormick said that it is the individual donors who should be ordered to return the money.

“We think it would be unfair for any return order to cause the association to be impliedly seen as having somehow offended the Act in these cases when, in truth, the only breaches have been by those who, by obtaining reimbursement of apparently proper contributions, participated in prohibited contributions and then took the benefit of them,” McCormick wrote.

Fjeldheim said he did not want to speak in detail about the investigations until Thursday, but he did say that his rulings were firm.

“I believe the purpose of the act is to ensure the political entities can’t take the benefit of prohibited corporations contributions, even in circumstances where the party may not itself have contravened the act,” Fjeldheim said.

“I can understand how this can happen. But having said that, I still feel the purpose of the act is to ensure transparency and integrity. I believe that can be achieved, if these indirect ones being accepted in contravention of the act, if they’re returned.”

McCormick shared details of the 10 cases connected the main PC party with the Journal on Wednesday on the condition that the paper not identify the prohibited corporations involved, unless they had previously been made public, such as the Calgary Laboratory Services case.

The party feels that information should be released by Elections Alberta, he said.

Elections Alberta also will report that 17 PC constituency associations had to collectively repay $9,905, according to the party.

According to documents provided to the PC party by Fjeldheim, the donations all related to tickets purchased to attend various Leaders’ Dinners. Seven took place in 2010 and three in 2011.

McCormick said the party already takes pains to ensure donors know the rules about where the money can come from, but will be doing even more in the future.

Wildrose MLA Shayne Saskiw, the former executive director of his party, said that he does not expect his party to be identified by Elections Alberta as receiving illegal donations.

Whether ordered or advised, Saskiw said the PCs should be repaying any illegal donations.

“If there is any taxpayer dollars, directly or indirectly in the PC bank account at the party level or constituency level it should be repaid,” said Saskiw, MLA for Lac La Biche-Two Hills-St. Paul.

“It is mind boggling they are having this so-called discussion with the chief electoral officer.”

[email protected]

Twitter.com/scodonnell

© Copyright (c) The Edmonton Journal

Albertans identify child poverty as priority

 By Karen Kleiss, Edmonton Journal January 31, 2013

EDMONTON – The Redford government has quietly released the results of a six-month, $450,000 public consultation that will govern the overhaul of Alberta’s social service programs.

The sweeping survey found Albertans’ top priority was reducing child poverty, followed by eliminating family violence and homelessness.

The 37-page report was posted online Friday by Human Services, the new super-ministry that oversees every major social program in the province, including those for unemployed, disabled and homeless Albertans, as well as children in care.

The government did not publicize the release of the report, which details Albertans’ priorities for the remaking of the province’s social policy framework — a key plank in Premier Alison Redford’s election campaign.

Albertans who organized meetings and promoted the consultation were disillusioned by the Redford government’s decision to bury the results on an obscure Internet page.

“These are all people she appealed to when she wanted to win the (Tory) leadership and when she wanted to win the election,” said Bill Moore-Kilgannon of Public Interest Alberta, a left-leaning advocacy organization that hosted a meeting of 16 contributing groups on Wednesday.

“This can’t just be a consultation exercise that gets shelved because it’s politically inconvenient and economically inconvenient — she has to deliver on these promises.”

Some political observers attribute Redford’s 2012 election win to votes from progressive Albertans who support her commitment to improved social services, including her promise to end child poverty in five years.

“If you go to the front of the social policy website, it’s not even there,” Moore-Kilgannon said. “I just think the politics here is they want to downplay any expectation of substantive changes to our social policy and that’s a real shame, because there’s so much that does need to change.”

After taking office in October 2011, Redford combined four existing government departments to create Human Services. In her mandate letter to Minister Dave Hancock, she asked him to create a social policy framework to guide the redesign of social policy programs in Alberta.

The first step in that process was public consultation.

More than 14,000 Albertans took part in nearly 400 meetings in 59 cities and towns across the province, and more than 5,000 people filled in an online survey.

Human Services spokesman Craig Loewen said the consultation cost taxpayers $455,100, including $127,100 for community discussion grants and $325,000 for consultants. The figure does not include salaries paid to government staff who worked on the project.

“Given the reach of our consultations … this was money well spent,” Loewen said in an email.

“There was also a lot going on last Friday, being the day after the Premier’s televised address – so the preference was to have more focus on it this week. … Minister Hancock will be publicizing the recent summing up document when he gets back to the office.”

Cabinet will review and endorse the framework over the next two months, and the department will then “begin engagement on identified strategies,” the report says.

Albertans also told the government they believe promoting good health is as important as treating illness.

“Many respondents believed that poverty needs to be eliminated,” says the report, titled Summing Up: Albertans’ Perspectives for a Social Policy Framework.

“In particular, many respondents were concerned about child poverty and its progression to chronic poverty. Many felt that a preventive approach should be used to address poverty.”

NDP MLA Dave Eggen said the government’s handling of the report shows Redford is not prepared to deliver on the promises she made during the provincial election.

“This is something that Alison Redford has to answer for,” Eggen said. “You cannot balance the budget on the back of Alberta’s most vulnerable people … I don’t know why she is so attracted to regressive politics, when Albertans expect something better.”

[email protected]

twitter.com/ablegreporter

© Copyright (c) The Edmonton Journal

Premier’s social bond promise ignites controversy – Critics call private funding “repellent,” advocates say they’re “innovative”

By Karen Kleiss, Edmonton Journal January 30, 2013 7:20 AM

EDMONTON – Premier Alison Redford’s suggestion Monday that Alberta will introduce “social infrastructure bonds” has ignited a heated debate among politicians, investment experts and social service workers.Supporters of social bonds say they are an innovative and progressive way to fund money-saving social programs that wouldn’t otherwise exist, while detractors call them a “slippery slope” toward privatization of public social services.

Mark Hlady, president of Finance for Good, has been advocating for social impact bonds since 2009 and has met with four government departments that are considering the idea, including officials in human services, justice, education and health.

“The investors make a return if we do social good,” Hlady said Tuesday. “We’re helping people live better lives. If we do that, we get paid.”

Redford said the province is looking to introduce “social infrastructure bonds,” a variation of the “social impact bonds” she proposed during the Progressive Conservative leadership race in 2011.

The concept originated in the United Kingdom in 2008 and has caught on worldwide including the United States, where they are known as “pay for success” bonds.

Canada’s federal Human Resources Minister Diane Finley announced in November the Harper government will start issuing social impact bonds this year.

The concept rests on the idea that good social programs save the government money. For example, a program that provides housing and supports for homeless people can dramatically reduce policing, incarceration and hospital emergency room costs.

Bond structures vary, but typically a private investor finances a proven program operated by a non-profit agency. If the agency meets its targets – say, getting 10 homeless people off the streets — the government returns the cost of the program to the investors, with interest. The interest comes from the money saved on police, sheriffs and doctors who would otherwise have been paid to serve the newly housed homeless.

In Edmonton, the Pathways to Housing program has helped 80 homeless people get off the streets, saving an estimated $2.2 million in hospital costs alone each year, according to the organization’s annual report. A social impact bond could help the program grow, without additional government investment.

Redford’s social infrastructure bond may be different from a social impact bond and could take the shape of a more traditional government bond, one used to build a school, for example. Alternatively, money raised for a social infrastructure bond could fund investment in social assets that yield returns, like low-income housing.

The government did not offer any clarity Tuesday on the issue.

Hlady said social impact bond investors have a “philanthropic mindset” and want to make a difference in their communities. If they were after a high rate of return, they would invest elsewhere, he noted.

He acknowledged the politicians have to be careful and introduce strict regulations around their use.

“We have never intended social impact bonds to cover all areas of society,” he said. “ You only want social impact bonds where you’re funding additive programs that are working at root causes. You never want to have a social impact bond that is going to help address crises or symptoms.”

He added that social impact bonds have the most value when the programs they fund help the people with the most complex problems.

Alberta College of Social Workers spokeswoman Lori Sigurdson said the college on Jan. 18 passed a motion to oppose the use of social impact bonds in Alberta.

“We don’t want some people to profit from the misery of others,” said Sigurdson, who ran unsuccessfully for the NDP in the 2012 provincial election.

“The motive becomes profit, not service,” she said. “The primary responsibility of government is to be supporting vulnerable and marginalized people.”

NDP MLA David Eggen called the bonds experimental, “untried” and “regressive.”

“Essentially what you’re doing is taking social programs for the most vulnerable people and putting them on the market to buy, sell and trade,” Eggen said. “It’s ludicrous and I think it’s somewhat repellent as well.”

Wildrose spokesman Vitor Marciano said the party won’t comment on the bonds until Redford provides more details.

[email protected]

© Copyright (c) The Edmonton Journal

 

Alberta consumers to keep regulated-rate option for electricity

 By Sheila Pratt, Edmonton Journal January 29, 2013

EDMONTON – Albertans will not be forced into fixed-rate electricity contracts, and government will take steps to control costs on major new transmission lines now under construction, Energy Minister Ken Hughes said Tuesday.

Hughes also predicted that residential power bills would go up “very modestly” in the next few months as utility companies begin to recover administration and other non-energy costs that were frozen for the past 11 months while the Retail Market Review Committee produced its report.

Hughes noted he does not have a fixed contract himself and is among the 65 per cent of Albertans still preferring to pay the regulated-rate option for electricity — a fluctuating price approved each month by the Alberta Utilities Commission.

“It’s important to continue to provide Albertans with choice,” said Hughes.

Hughes also said until he became energy minister, he didn’t take time to study his electricity bill and work out which was the best deal.

“Like most Albertans, I never determined there was enough time in my day to actually take the time to make a decision,” he said.

Hughes announced several other steps to improve consumer protection and stabilize power prices — though critics said whether those steps will be effective depends on the details to be worked out later by a new MLA committee.

Companies like Edmonton-owned Epcor that offer the regulated-rate option will be allowed to buy electricity up to 120 days ahead, as opposed to the 45-day lead time currently in effect.

That could be a key factor in avoiding sudden price spikes such as occurred a year ago when prices jumped to record rates, said Epcor’s Doreen Cole, vice-president of electricity services.

Epcor is also pleased that the government decided to maintain the RRO, despite the fact the Retail Market Review Committee recommended it be abolished.

Cole also noted that Epcor customers will see 25 cents more a month on their bills for about six months to recover the costs of the freeze of ancillary costs.

Hughes said the province’s utilities advocate, a consumer office currently under the energy department, will be more independent and “will have more teeth” — though he declined to say how that might be achieved. That will be up to the MLA committee he will appoint at an unspecified date.

He also announced measures to strengthen the Alberta Utilities Commission’s powers to scrutinize costs of building new transmission lines when the companies apply for rate increases to cover those costs.

When companies apply for a rate increase, the onus will be on the companies to justify the costs, rather than on consumers to show costs are unreasonable, he said.

In addition, the government will direct the AUC to take steps to spread the cost of new transmission lines over many years, said Hughes. That directive comes instead of proceeding with a promised inquiry to look at how to amortize transmission costs.

“This current generation is not going to foot the entire bill for lines future generations will also use,” he said.

There is a “big gain for consumers” in giving the AUC more oversight of construction costs of new transmission lines, said Vittoria Belissimo of the Industrial Power Consumers Association of Alberta.

“That is a huge win so we can identify problems in advance,” she said. “ A lot of expenditures are not being incurred prudently and those costs deserve a test.”

Consumer lawyer Jim Wachowich says the package of reforms show the government is “attuned to the issue” of electricity prices and the need to make utilities more accountable for costs that go on the customers’ bill.

But it’s not clear, for instance, whether the stronger oversight measures will apply to the two new north-south transmission — projects of $3 billion — already underway.

“Huge and significant costs are already being talked about,” said Wachowich.

“Are we closing the barn door when the horse is out — or can we catch the horse? We need some clarity,” said Wachowich.

In its 390 page report, the Retail Market Review Committee called for an end to the regulated rate option which they called “a significant impediment” to bringing more retailers into the market.

But Joe Anglin, Wildrose critic, said the electricity system “does not need more middle men” in a retail market. Customers should have direct access to wholesale prices, he said.

Anglin also praised the government for shifting the onus onto companies to prove their costs justify rate increases. But he noted there are few challenges to those costs, as the government limits funding to interveners.

“So it’s not a balanced field,” he said.

[email protected]

© Copyright (c) The Edmonton Journal

MLA office building draws fire

By Darcy Henton, Calgary Herald January 28, 2013

EDMONTON — As Premier Alison Redford warns Albertans to tighten their belts for a tough March budget, tenders are going out for completion of a $275-million renovation of an environmentally friendly office to house MLAs and bureaucrats.

The massive expenditure, while Alberta braces for its sixth consecutive deficit, has Alberta opposition parties questioning the government’s priorities and its timing.

Wildrose critic Rob Anderson said the fact the government is pressing ahead with the building renovation at the legislature in Edmonton while the premier is preaching fiscal austerity is “just beyond belief.”

“This is the type of complete fiscal ignorance that has got us into the hole that we’re in right now — this inability to put needs before wants,” he said. “Clearly this is not a priority for Albertans.”

He said spending $275 million — and likely more than that when the final tally is in — for an office building MLAs could do without is “a graphic reminder of how incompetent and irresponsible this government has been with managing our finances.”

Liberal Leader Raj Sherman said elected officials have to show leadership by getting Albertans better value for their tax dollars, starting with the legislature grounds.

“My concern from Day 1 about the whole Federal Building project was that before MLAs give themselves fancy new offices, let’s make sure we have full-day kindergarten for our children, let’s make sure our seniors are looked after and let’s make sure we have enough front-line staff in education and health care to look after the social needs of the people,” he said.

Sherman said $275 million would go a long way to addressing some of the social issues facing the province.

The re-development of the 11-storey Federal Building, which sat empty for more than two decades after it was acquired by the province, began in 2009 and was supposed to have been completed in 2011, but the ground-up restoration had to be deferred while the structure was reinforced, according to Kent Phillips, Alberta Infrastructure project delivery branch executive director.

Just before Christmas, the Conservative-dominated all-party member services committee gave the green light to a $4-million visitor centre with museum-quality exhibit space, a gift shop and an 80-seat theatre on the main floor of the building.

The expense was approved the same day Finance Minister Doug Horner held a news conference to tell Albertans the low price the province is receiving for oilsands bitumen compared with West Texas Intermediate crude was having a major impact on resource revenues and that cabinet ministers were going to have to make tough decisions about their programs.

“We’ve just had an update by the provincial treasurer, the minister of finance, and there’s a heap of trouble out there,” Wildrose MLA Heather Forsyth warned fellow committee members before the vote at the Dec. 19 meeting.

Infrastructure spokeswoman Jeannie Smith noted the project was started long before the province got into financial turmoil.

“We’re being fiscally responsible by redeveloping this building,” she said. “An engineering study found it was more cost effective to renovate the building than to demolish and replace it with a new building of similar size.”

Phillips said the last of the major interior work required will be put out to tender before the end of March.

He said there would be little point in deferring the remaining construction at this point.

“It would make absolutely no sense because we’re about 75 per cent complete,” he said.

Phillips said the original budget was $356 million, but the costs were reduced because of the downturn in the economy.

The building will provide office space and committee rooms for 600 people, including opposition and backbench MLAs as well as legislature staff now housed in the legislature “annex” adjacent to the legislature building. It will also house finance officials from the nearby Terrace Building, Phillips said.

NDP Leader Brian Mason said he also believes it would be a mistake to stop construction now.

“I think it’s very expensive, but I think they have passed the point of no return,” he said.

Mason said he supports the concept of making the legislature more people-friendly.

“I think that if only politicians hang out in the building we have lost a real opportunity,” he said.

“There’s a need for more public education with respect to how our democracy functions.”

Brian Hodgson, visitor services director, said the visitor centre will feature 30 interactive exhibits that tell Alberta’s political history.

“It’s a legacy project in the sense that it will support a wider understanding of our provincial legislature,” he said. “I hope it will lead to a greater degree of engagement on the part of Albertans in what goes on here.”

In addition to the visitor centre, the main floor will feature a restaurant and bistro while the second floor will provide space for four committee rooms. The top floor will feature a roof garden. The building and an adjacent plaza with six gardens and a fountain will add 40 per cent to the size of the legislature grounds.

[email protected]

Federal Building

Cost: $275 million

Size: 300,000 sq. ft.

Height: 11 storeys

Offices: for 600 people

Parking: 650 stalls

Restaurants: two

Committee rooms: four

Gift shops: one

Exhibits: 30

Theatre: 80 seats

Distance from Dome: eight-minute walk

Connection to legislature: underground pedway

Features: rooftop garden, energy efficient windows, granite floor

Plaza: six gardens, skating rink, fountain

© Copyright (c) The Calgary Herald

SNC-Lavalin document provides details of alleged bribes to Gadhafi family

Engineering firm accused of paying Moammar Gadhafi’s son $160 million in kickbacks

CP January 25, 2013

MONTREAL — SNC-Lavalin says an unsealed affidavit used to obtain an RCMP search warrant of its headquarters last April contains new details about the company’s alleged ties with Libya’s Gadhafi family.

However, the embattled engineering giant says it cannot confirm the veracity of the new information and is reviewing the document to see what actions it may take. It has vowed to act swiftly if the allegations are proven.

In the sworn statement unsealed by a Quebec court Friday, former officials with the Montreal-based company are accused of paying the son of the dictator Moammar Gadhafi $160 million in kickbacks to obtain major contracts in Libya, some of which police say paid for luxury yachts.

The search warrant document says the bribes were paid to Saadi Gadhafi by former SNC vice-president Riadh Ben Aissa, who is now jailed in Switzerland.

Published reports say the RCMP document also implicated Ben Aissa and former SNC-Lavalin controller Stephane Roy in an alleged effort to smuggle Gadhafi’s son and his family to Mexico as the regime was failing in 2011.

SNC-Lavalin (TSX:SNC) says the affidavit contains some unspecified information that it voluntarily provided to authorities in March.

“It also contains some information of which we were not previously aware. We cannot determine the veracity of certain allegations in the affidavit,” it stated in a news release.

It noted that affidavits contain “unproven information and allegations” gathered by authorities in the context of an investigation that are submitted to a judge in order to obtain a search warrant.

SNC-Lavalin has taken a number of steps to improve its governance and requirement that employees adopt ethical behaviour.

It hired former Watergate investigator Michael Hershman as an independent compliance adviser to SNC’s president. He will complement the work of former FBI director Louis Freeh’s risk management company, which has been assessing the progress of the implementation of the company’s ethics and compliance program.

© Copyright (c) The Vancouver Sun

Braid: Redford’s TV spot does little to clear up fiscal fog

By Don Braid, Calgary Herald January 25, 2013 6:24 AM

CALGARY — The $6-billion revenue shortfall in the coming budget year is finally confirmed by Premier Alison Redford. She calls this the “bitumen bubble,” although it seems more like a crater.

Apart from that one fact, there was disappointingly little detail in Redford’s televised speech Thursday night.

Her strategy for tackling the province’s immense challenges remains murky — not just to us, but perhaps to her as well.

Next month, she’ll hold an Alberta Economic Summit to consult “industry experts, business and not-for-profit sector leaders and academics from our colleges and universities.”

We won’t get all the answers in one day, she added, but “it will allow us to continue the conversation.”

But really, how long can this yakking go on, and how useful is it on the virtual eve of the budget?

The date has already been announced — March 7. There’s little chance that a summit held a few weeks before will alter decisions already being made by politicians and bureaucrats.

This summit is sure to be a political exercise more than an economic one. If you care to bet, put your money on a stacked consensus that there must be some cuts, but more borrowing.

Cuts there will surely be. Even Alberta cannot swallow a $6-billion revenue loss without serious pain.

“Some programs and services will change,” the premier said, “especially those that are not sustainable over the long term.”

The language was vague, as usual, but the meaning is clear enough.

It’s highly likely, according to government sources, that smaller programs within departments will be cut back or wound up entirely.

Health care will get a small increase, apparently; but to afford that, plenty of this lower-level government clutter will have to go.

Ten days ago, the government appeared to be looking for about $1.5 million in operating cuts and $1 billion in capital project deferrals.

Now, there’s talk that the capital target may rise to $2 billion.

If that much is deferred, Redford could continue to argue that she’s “building the province” because nearly $5-billion worth of projects would still go ahead, many with borrowed money.

The capital and operating cuts would knock $3.5 billion off next year’s $6-billion revenue loss. Other factors may intrude, but the math suggests a projected deficit of some $2.5 billion in 2013-14.

Two things are inevitable in a revenue crunch that comes with a flat promise not to raise taxes — lots of borrowing, and government layoffs. Redford didn’t mention either in her speech.

She did say, however, that amid this fiscal crunch “we have a plan to once again begin investing a portion of our resource revenue in the Heritage Fund — the first time that will have happened in over 25 years.”

Every PC government has talked about this for 25 years. Not one has ever done it. To promise this now takes Redford’s rhetoric to the level of wishful thinking, if not actual fantasy.

Wildrose Leader Danielle Smith immediately attacked Redford for having no plan or vision. The whole problem was predictable the moment the PCs dropped their last budget before the 2012 election, Smith claimed.

One thing surely was predictable back then — the problem caused by this price differential between West Texas Intermediate crude and Alberta bitumen.

Along with Redford’s speech, the government released a chart that showed the differential was almost as wide last spring, during the budget debate and the election campaign, as it is today.

Back then it was never mentioned. Today it’s suddenly a crisis. If you feel somewhat manipulated, welcome to the fiscal support group.

Don Braid’s column appears regularly in the Herald.

[email protected]

© Copyright (c) The Calgary Herald

Finance minister Horner warns Alberta’s energy revenue shortfall ‘not pretty’

Horner tells Calgary chamber Alberta is being slammed by bitumen prices

 By James Wood, Calgary Herald January 22, 2013

CALGARY — As Finance Minister Doug Horner warned Albertans of a no-fun provincial budget this spring due to a massive revenue shortfall, he acknowledged Monday the government will be billions of dollars off in its projected bitumen royalties this year.

Continuing a recent public relations blitz by the Tory government, Horner made the case at a Calgary Chamber of Commerce luncheon that the province is being slammed by the steeply discounted price for bitumen.

Speaking to reporters later, he suggested the price discount for Alberta oilsands versus benchmark light crude oil — a differential that exceeded $40 a barrel last month — will put the province more than $3-billion below its revenue projections in the 2012-13 budget.

“It’s not pretty,” he said. “This differential has widened out during a period of time where seasonality would normally indicate we would get a better result.

“We did not.”

Horner said an accurate picture of Alberta’s bitumen royalties will be seen in the government’s third-quarter financial report, to be released next month. The province had projected oilsands bitumen royalties of $5.7 billion this year.

Last spring, the Redford government said total resource revenues would top $11 billion — including $2.1 billion from conventional oil and $1.2 billion for natural gas. Both those commodities are also taking a hit because of lower-than-projected prices.

Horner told the chamber crowd the government is facing a “structural change in its key commodity” that requires belt-tightening in the medium term. Departments have been told to aggressively rein in spending ahead of the March 7 provincial budget, he said.

“This is not going to be a fun budget,” the finance minister added.

The speech came the same day the government released the results of its “Dollars and Sense” consultations on the provincial budget and long-term fiscal plan.

Among those Albertans who took part in panel discussions or responded to an online survey, most supported increased savings, borrowing for capital expenditures if it made financial sense, and weaning the province from its reliance on resource revenues — potentially through tax changes.

The government has been bedevilled politically by the question of whether it will look to new taxes — such as introducing a provincial sales tax or hiking the flat tax on income — to deal with the revenue shortfall.

Horner reiterated there will be no new taxes in the upcoming financial plan. He said there could ultimately be a provincial debate about tax measures, but only after the government has looked at all aspects of its $40 billion in spending.

“The first thing we do is look to our own house before I start digging into the pockets of those in your house,” he told reporters. “That’s something Albertans told us loud and clear.”

But Wildrose MLA Rob Anderson said the latest report is simply part of the government’s efforts to pave the way for future tax hikes and debt. He also castigated the PC government’s plan to borrow to pay for infrastructure.

“Borrowing for politicians is heroin. That’s what it is. Once will never be enough. They will borrow and they will borrow and they will borrow for every pet project they say is important,” he said.

Chamber of commerce economist Ben Brunnen said borrowing to finance capital projects can make sense as long as the government sets binding parameters on its debt servicing cost.

Brunnen said the message of Horner’s speech was good news for the city’s business community. “The provincial finance minister committed to no tax increases and also prioritizing government spending … as opposed to looking for different revenue sources,” he said.

With oilsands companies making investments expected to be worth about $23 billion this year, Alberta’s energy sector is attracting job seekers from across Canada, and the province’s population is forecast to climb to five million within two decades from 3.7 million.

To keep pace with the growth, Redford promised in last year’s election campaign to spend almost $4 billion on 50 new schools, 140 medical clinics and post-secondary education, a pledge largely based on growing oilsands royalties.

Lower revenues means “tax increases are going to have to come,” said George Gosbee, chairman of Calgary-based investment-banking company AltaCorp Capital Inc. “This is going to be a tough political decision.”

Other parties in the legislature said the Tories are avoiding the larger revenue issue, even while program reductions loom in the budget.

“Unless the government sobers up and deals honestly with its revenue problem, Albertans are going to face significant cuts to essential services,” said NDP finance critic David Eggen.

Liberal Leader Raj Sherman said the budget consultation study showed the government is out of touch with provincial residents.“Albertans understand you get what you paid for,” he said.

The tough budget talk comes as the province is embroiled in contract talks with the Alberta Medical Association and faces expiring contracts with the Alberta Union of Provincial Employees and United Nurses of Alberta. The Alberta Teachers Association is also in negotiations with government-funded school boards.

The PC government’s message of restraint is already raising concerns among public sector employees. Health Sciences Association of Alberta president Elisabeth Ballerman said medical care in the province is already feeling the strain in areas such as community care and ambulance service.

“There are worrying signs that point to vital health-care services being cut again — and we all know that when health care is cut, patients bleed,” she said in a statement.

With files from Bloomberg

[email protected]

© Copyright (c) The Calgary Herald

Alberta’s royalty regime to take steep hit as oil prices sputter, energy minister warns – Price discount has province collecting at lower rate

By Chris Varcoe, Calgary Herald January 21, 2013

CALGARY — The steep price discount facing Alberta crude is jeopardizing the Redford government’s projection of collecting $10 billion in bitumen revenue by 2014-15, as fewer oilsands projects are expected to graduate into paying higher royalties in the short term, says Energy Minister Ken Hughes.

In last spring’s budget, the Tory government predicted it would collect a gusher from the province’s 108 oilsands projects, with bitumen royalties hitting $5.7 billion this year and climbing by an average of 32 per cent in each of the following two years — driven by rising production and expectations of higher commodity prices.

Rising prices would mean more oilsands projects would move from paying an initial lower levy to the government — known as a pre-payout royalty rate — to a higher tier of payments, as producers recoup their total development costs for such large-scale projects.

Today, however, Alberta bitumen faces a huge discount compared to the price for benchmark West Texas Intermediate crude, with the differential near $37 a barrel on Friday.

In an interview, Hughes said the number of oilsands operations now expected to reach payout quickly — bumping them into the higher royalty tier — is smaller.

“In my estimate, we’d probably see maybe half as many projects reach payout in the next four years, compared to what we might’ve thought would happen even a year ago,” he said.

“The impact of the price pressure on bitumen means payout will not come as quickly for as many projects. So that also has an impact on the revenues of the province of Alberta over time.

“They will still reach payout, but they won’t reach payout as quickly.”

As for the government’s target last spring of garnering almost $10 billion in bitumen royalties in 2014-15 — propelling the province into an overall $5.2-billion surplus — Hughes urged caution.

“I cannot foresee anything like that happening, and our job as the government of Alberta is to be prudent, cautious and conservative in our assumptions about revenues to the provincial coffers, so we can continue to have choices that we do today about how we manage our way through these issues.”

According to provincial statistics, 49 oilsands projects in northern Alberta are currently in the pre-payout phase as of Dec. 31, 2012, paying royalty rates that top out at nine per cent of gross revenues.

Another 59 are in the higher category, paying royalties of up to 40 per cent of net revenues, depending on oil prices.

When the budget was released last February, the Energy Department expected 13 oilsands projects would graduate to the higher post-payout levels by 2014-15. (An updated number won’t be released until the new budget is released in March.)

Greg Stringham, vice-president of the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers, notes some U.S. refineries are converting to handle heavier grades of crude, which should increase markets for Alberta bitumen.

As well, another pricing issue — the gap between North American and global oil prices — is expected to narrow.

Project payout is largely determined by the total cost of a development and commodity prices, he said.

“Lower prices means in most cases longer payouts, higher prices means faster payout — because payout is just how much revenue goes against the cost,” Stringham said.

“But a lot of the major projects that have been started up for several years now are already past their payout point. So it’s not like you swing all of the projects, it would (affect) only the newer production that comes on.”

At the heart of the government’s problem is the difficulty forecasting volatile prices for Alberta’s most important energy commodity.

Oil prices are sharply lower than projected in the budget.

West Texas Intermediate has averaged $91.40 a barrel during this fiscal year — compared with last spring’s budget estimate of $99.25 — and every $1-a-barrel drop over the course of the year costs the treasury $233 million.

The price for a Western Canadian Select, which reflects a blend of conventional heavy oil and bitumen produced in Alberta, has averaged only $70 a barrel since April — closing at $58.71 a barrel on Friday — sharply off the budget forecast of $83.

And every $1 difference in Western Canadian Select over an entire year will cut bitumen royalties to the province by $239 million, according to Alberta Energy.

Energy economist Joseph Doucet, a professor at the University of Alberta, noted the province remains a relatively high-cost environment in which to build large energy projects.

Meanwhile petroleum producers and the province are currently collecting less money for a heavily discounted product.

Ultimately, this means less cash for government coffers.

“It’s a very serious problem and it’s something that wasn’t anticipated — or fully anticipated — until fairly recently,” Doucet said of the price discount.

But Wildrose MLA Rob Anderson said the government’s prediction of bitumen royalties jumping by a third in each of the next two years was “total insanity.”

Oilsands projects will move into a higher payout rate, but not at the aggressive pace the Redford government was banking on, he added.

“Any rational human being thinking there would be a 32 per cent increase in bitumen royalties in two years needs their head examined. I don’t want to use the word impossible, but that’s essentially what it is,” Anderson said.

Part of the broader issue facing Alberta stems from rising oil production in the United States — where volumes hit a 14-year high last fall — and limited pipeline capacity.

Hughes noted the industry is still strong, and employment levels are growing because of the huge opportunities in the oilsands.

While last year’s budget projected some pressure on bitumen prices, “what nobody anticipated was how quickly and how deeply the impact would come upon the Alberta economy — and upon the industry,” he added.

“All this speaks to is the fact, within the oil industry, there will not be as much revenue, which means there may be slowing down of a few projects. But we’re still amongst the luckiest people in the world.”

© Copyright (c) The Calgary Herald